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Robert Samuelson: Obama’s community-college gamble

WASHINGTON — A presidential budget is more than an expression of policy. It’s also an exercise in political brand management. It aims to project the president and his administration favorably. This is certainly true of Barack Obama’s fiscal 2016 budget, whose proposals are cast as instruments of “middle-class economics.” The government is your partner. It […]

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Robert Samuelson: Study provides new insight into housing bubble

WASHINGTON — We are constantly learning new stuff about the housing bubble — and some of the new stuff contradicts the old. This is obviously important, because the housing bubble led to the 2008-09 financial crisis and Great Recession. What we don’t understand may one day come back to bite us. There’s a standard and […]

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Robert Samuelson: The economy’s Achilles’ heel

WASHINGTON — President Obama has declared the economic crisis over — and for the United States, maybe it seems that way. But most other countries, not so much. Their recoveries are faltering. The obvious question is whether the global weakness will infect the U.S. expansion. This is a crucial footnote to Obama’s optimism. Two major […]

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Robert Samuelson: Theories in abundance about low wage increases

WASHINGTON — The great wage mystery deepens. In economic recoveries, there usually comes a time when strong job gains lead to strong wage gains. Businesses must pay more to recruit and retain the workers they need. Not this time — or at least not yet. The unemployment rate has dropped from a peak of 10 […]

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Robert Samuelson: Europe caught in a trap of high debts, low growth

WASHINGTON — The European economic crisis refuses to go gently into the night. As 2015 opens, Europe represents “the biggest economic threat” to the fragile global recovery, as The Economist magazine puts it. Few would dispute this assessment. There are two overarching problems. The first is (you guessed it) Greece. The parliament’s inability to elect […]

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Robert Samuelson: Is the economic slog really over?

WASHINGTON — Hello, 2015. We now are in the sixth year of economic recovery since the end of the Great Recession in mid-2009, says the National Bureau of Economic Research, a group of academic economists that dates business cycles. But, if upbeat economic forecasts come true, this could be the first year that feels like […]

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Robert Samuelson: 2015: Five economic stories to watch

By Robert Samuelson The Washington Post Writers Group WASHINGTON — The start of a new year is a good time to take stock. For those of us in the news business, this suggests stepping back and asking what’s important. Here are five economic stories worth watching. (1) What happens to oil? Saudi Arabia has helped […]

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Robert Samuelson: U.S. middle class experiencing identity crisis

By Robert Samuelson The Washington Post Writers Group WASHINGTON — What is curious about the present understandable preoccupation with the middle class is the assumption — both explicit and implicit — that the system is “rigged” (to use Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s favorite term) against this vast constituency of Americans. In reality, just the opposite is […]