Posted inOp-Eds, sj-web

U.S. economy not so much an election factor

WASHINGTON — One lesson of the midterm elections is that economic growth is losing its power to unite the country and to reduce explosive conflicts over race, religion, ethnicity, immigrant status and sexuality. This is unfamiliar. Economic progress has been a routine part of our election narratives. The presumption is that a strong economy favors […]

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Posted inOp-Eds, sj-web

There is a hidden threat to the U.S. economy

WASHINGTON — Here’s today’s quiz: What poses the greatest threat to America’s economy? (a) federal budget deficits; (b) China; (c) trade deficits; (d) ineffective schools; (e) the internet; (f) none of the above. The correct answer is (e), the internet — the technological wonder of the age. True, all the other threats are real. Runaway […]

Posted inOp-Eds, sj-web

Will inflation come back to haunt U.S.?

WASHINGTON — Anyone looking for good economic news will be disappointed by the latest inflation report, which showed the Consumer Price Index (CPI) advancing by 0.5 percent in January. By itself, this isn’t especially alarming — prices jump around month to month — but it has troubling implications for the future. To some economists, it […]

Posted inOp-Eds, sj-web

Stock market surge favors upper class

WASHINGTON — Call them the new millionaires. Once upon a time — certainly within living memory — becoming a millionaire was a big deal. It was a badge of economic distinction, enjoyed by a tiny elite. No more. By 2016, slightly more than 9 million U.S. households had a net worth of $1 million or […]

Posted inOp-Eds, sj-web

Does the Fed need a new playbook?

WASHINGTON — The record of economists, including those at the Federal Reserve, over the past half century has been discouraging. The two greatest blunders are well-known: policies that fed double-digit inflation in the 1970s, reaching a peak of 13.5 percent in 1980; and the more recent failure to prevent the 2008-09 financial crisis and Great […]

Posted inOp-Eds, sj-web

Don’t downsize the U.S. government

By Albert Hunt Bloomberg View The Republican vow to significantly reduce the size of government is a pipe dream, Larry Summers says, because of not liberal policy aspirations but structural economic realities. At a lunch on Wednesday, Summers, a former Treasury secretary and a leading Democratic economic-policy thinker, explained the substantive as well as political […]

Posted inOp-Eds

Economy’s mixed signals confusing

WASHINGTON — Call it the Snooze Economy. Roughly two months before the presidential election, the economy has turned both boring and mystifying. It hardly impresses anyone, and yet this plodding performance is probably helping Hillary Clinton by minimizing bad economic news. More important: The lackluster expansion, if continued for a few more years, would represent […]

Posted inOp-Eds

Emerging-market countries affecting global economies

WASHINGTON — You cannot understand the vulnerable state of the U.S. and global economies — and nervous stock markets — without coming to grips with the crash of “emerging-market” countries. Led by China, these are middle-income countries that, along with the poorest countries, account for 85 percent of the world’s population and 60 percent of […]

Posted inOp-Eds

Economy caught in a vicious circle of fear

WASHINGTON — The American economy continues to stumble. It’s creating jobs at a goodly clip, but other aspects of growth are less impressive. Business investment has been lackluster. The housing recovery is improving but remains short of where many economists thought it would be. Consumer spending, representing slightly more than two-thirds of total spending, has […]